Pure Picks Baby

Monday, November 27, 2006

Finale Week Picks

WEST VIRGINIA (-8) vs. Rutgers
Navy (-20.5) vs. Army @ Philadelphia, PA
Georgia Tech (-3) vs. Wake Forest @ Jacksonville, FL
Florida (-3) vs. Arkansas @ Atlanta, GA
Oklahoma (-3.5) vs. Nebraska @ Kansas City, MO

Charlton Co. vs. Buford
Creekside vs. Marist
Warner Robins vs. Norcross

* Please send picks to bcuga@uga.edu*

Quarter-final Update


AAAAA : Tift Co, N. Gwinett, Houston Co., Roswell, Norcross, Warner Robins, Peachtree Ridge, Stephenson

AAAA : Thomas Co. Central, St. Pius, Northside WR, Habersham Central, E. Paulding, Starr's Mill, Marist, Creekside

Total Points:

Pat H. : 18
Patrick M. : 18
Jack : 16
Larry : 16
Rick : 14
Will : 14

Sunday, November 26, 2006

Week 13 Results

Donnie : 6-2

Shane : 5-3

Jack : 4-4
Larry: 4-4
Partrick M. : 4-4
Will : 4-4

Rick : 3-5

Pat H. : 2-6

- For the final week of picks, please e-mail me them for privacy purposes and I will post them no later than Friday. I will post mine directly onto the blog before that time. bcuga@uga.edu

Pat H. : 58-46
Jack : 58-46
Patrick M. : 55-49
Rick : 55-49
Will : 55-49
Donnie : 54-50
Larry : 53-51
Shane : 48-56
Bryan : 11-93

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Week 13 Picks (ATTN: Friday Game Included)

Lsu (PK) vs. ARKANSAS
Florida (-9.5) vs. FLORIDA ST.
CLEMSON (-5) vs. South Carolina
MARYLAND (-1) vs. Wake Forest
USC (-7) vs. Notre Dame

Warner Robins vs. Camden Co.
Peach Co. vs. LaGrange
Griffin vs. Creekside

*Georgia vs. Tech score? Will be used in a tiebreaker scenerio at the end of the year.*

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Week 12

BC, Auburn, Michigan, VA Tech, USC; Caver, Starr's Mill, Union Grove

Pat H. : 6-2 (56-40)
Donnie : 6-2 (47-49)

Rick : 4-4 (52-44)

Shane: 4-4 (43-53)

Jack : 3-5 (54-42)
Patrick M. : 3-5 (51-45)
Will: 3-5 (51-45)
Larry: 3-5 (49-47)

Bryan : 0-8 (11-85)

Week 12 in Review, But Not Really

Week 12 Record
Straight Up: 9-6
Against the Spread: 4-7

It was an awful week and, to be honest, I’m still feeling a little drained from a huge Saturday of college football, so I’m not really in the mood to recap all the games I failed miserably at prognosticating. But hey, nobody reads this stuff anyway.

#8 West Virginia (-11) at Pittsburgh
My Prediction: WVU - 38, Pitt - 20
Actual Result: WVU - 45, Pitt - 27

Middle Tennessee State (+15.5) at South Carolina
MP: USC - 34, MTSU - 13
AR: USC - 52, MTSU - 7

Louisiana-Monroe (+19.5) at Kentucky
MP: UK - 49, ULM - 17
AR: UK - 42, ULM - 40

Western Carolina (OFF) at #3 Florida
MP: UF - 45, WC - 10
AR: UF - 62, WC - 0

#15 Auburn (-3) at Alabama
MP: AU - 17, UA - 13
AR: AU - 22, UA - 15

#5 Arkansas(-14) at Mississippi State
MP: UA - 24, MSU - 13
AR: UA - 28, MSU - 14

Mississippi (+27.5) at #9 Louisiana State
MP: LSU - 38, UM - 7
AR: LSU - 23, UM - 20

#22 Tennessee (-8) at Vanderbilt
MP: UT - 28, VU - 17
AR: UT - 39, VU - 10

17 California (+5.5) at #4 Southern California
MP: UCB - 30, USC - 28
AR: USC - 23, UCB - 9

#19 Virginia Tech (-2) at #14 Wake Forest
MP: WFU - 21, VT - 20
AR: VT - 27, WFU - 6

#21 Maryland (+7) at #22 Boston College
MP: UM - 20, BC - 18
AR: BC - 38, UM - 16

#2 Michigan (+6.5) at #1 Ohio State
MP: UM - 24, OSU - 22
AR: OSU - 42, UM - 39

Union Grove at Windsor Forest
MP: UGHS - 17, WFHS - 7
AR: UGHS - 10, WFHS - 0

Starr’s Mill at Ware County
MP: WCHS - 20, SMHS - 13
AR: SMHS - 37, WCHS - 6

Thomson at Carver-Columbus
MP: THS - 16, CHS - 13
AR: CHS - 8, THS - 0

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

State Playoff Picks

For those who wish to participate, here are the guidelines:

- Fill out the brackets for AAAA and AAAAA.
- On the comment link, List the 8 teams you think will make it to the quarterfinals in each classification. Then list the 4 teams to make the semi-finals, the two teams you think will play in the championship and the team that you believe will win the state championship.
-You will receive 2 points for each team that you correctly pick to make the Final 8. 4 points for each team in the final 4, 8 points for each team in the championship, and 10 points if you correctly pick the state champion.
-Brackets: http://www.gasports.com/?template=7&year=2006&sport=1&class=5

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Georgia State Playoffs


AAAAA:

1. Norcross (10-0)
2. Tift County (9-1)
3. Camden County (9-1)
4. North Gwinnett (9-1)
5. Brookwood (8-2)
6. Central Gwinnett (8-2)
7. Roswell (9-1)
8. Coffee (8-2)
9. M.L. King (9-1)
10. Campbell (8-2)

- The two time defending state champion Lowndes Vikings finished fifth in region 1-AAAAA and will not be in the playoffs. For the first time since 1993, no team from Valdosta will be in the State Playoffs.
-Windsor Forest's matchup with Union Grove will be the first state playoff game involving a Savannah public school at Memorial Stadium since 1993. BC played the last playoff game at Memorial in 2000 against Evans.
-Colquitt Co., who was ranked as high as #3 in the state, did not qualify for the playoffs.
-Traditional power Parkview squeaked in as the #4 seed from region 8-AAAAA but did draw one of the weakest 1 seeds in Etowah.
-Norcross, Camden Co., and Warner Robins are in the same quarter of one brackett which is very unfortunate.
Favorites: Norcross and Tift. Co.
Sleeper: Parkview
Possible Pre-Dome GTW: 2nd round- Camden Co. vs. Warner Robins

AAAA:

1. Northside-Warner Robins (10-0)
2. Griffin (10-0)
3. Creekside (10-0)
4. Baldwin (9-1)
5. Marist (9-1)
6. Rome (9-1)
7. Mays (9-1)
8. Dacula (9-1)
9. Ware County (8-2)
10. Statesboro (9-1)

-Statesboro, who is coming off their first regular season loss in over 3 years, gets matched up against one of the best 3 seeds in the playoffs with Westlake. The Lions have the 14th ranked QB in the country, Florida commit Cameron Newton.
-Region 1-AAAA only has 4 teams, which means each team qualified for the playoffs. In the first round they are matched up against region 4, arguably the toughest in the state. Expect 3 blowouts and Westside-Macon could also handle Thomas Co. Central.
-Undefeated and 2nd ranked Griffin will have to defeat #3 Creekside in the second round and most likely Marist in the quarterfinals just to get to the dome.
-AAAA had the best record against other classifications in head to head matchups this year.
Favorites: Northside-Warner Robins and Griffin
Sleeper: St. Pius
PP-DGTW: 2nd round- Creekside vs. Griffin

AAA:

1. LaGrange (10-0)
2. Peach County (9-1)
3. Cartersville (9-1)
4. Carrollton (9-1)
5. Carver-Columbus (9-1)
6. Stephens County (9-1)
7. Washington County (8-2)
8. Thomson (9-1)
9. Shaw (8-2)
10. North Hall (9-1)

- # 1 ranked Lagrange is set to meet # 2 Peach Co. in the second round. Obsurd.
- Even though region 3 has two teams ranked in the top 10, being swept by region 2 is a good possibility.
-BC's subregion counterparts South Effingham and Liberty Co. will be doing well to be within 3 touchdowns of LaGrange and Shaw at Halftime.
Favorites: LaGrange and Cartersville
Sleeper: North Hall
PP-DGTW: 2nd round- LaGrange vs. Peach Co.

AA:

1. Charlton County (10-0)
2. Buford (10-0)
3. Dublin (10-0)
4. Fitzgerald (10-0)
5. Calhoun (9-1)
6. GAC (9-1)
7. Washington-Wilkes (9-1)
8. Heard County (10-0)
9. Pepperell (9-1)
10. Greene County (8-2)

- Either #2 Buford or #1 Charlton Co. will not make it to the dome because both are in the same quarter of the brackett. Obsurd.
-Dublin tries to avenge its 2nd round exit from last years state playoffs when they were ranked #1 in the state. This year they are # 3.
Favorites: Charlton Co. and Dublin
Sleeper: Jefferson Co.
PP-DGTW: Quarterfinals- Charlton Co. vs. Buford

A:

-Doesn't count.



http://www.gasports.com/?template=7&year=2006&sport=1&class=5

Monday, November 13, 2006

Week 12 Picks

BOSTON COLLEGE (-7) vs. Maryland
Auburn (-3) vs. ALABAMA
OHIO ST. (-6.5) vs. Michigan
Virginia Tech (-2) vs. WAKE FOREST
USC (-5.5) vs. California

Thomson vs. Carver-Columbus
Starr's Mill vs. Ware Co.
Union Grove vs. Windsor Forest

Sunday, November 12, 2006

Week 11 Results

Rutgers , South Carolina , Arkansas , Wake , USC ; Ware Co. ,
South Effingham , Marist

Jack : 6-2 (51-37)

Will : 5-3 (48-40)
Larry : 5-3 (46-42)

Pat H. : 4-4 (50-38)
Rick : 4-4 (44-44)

Patrick M. : 3-5 (48-40)
Shane : 3-5 (39-49)

Donnie : 2-6 (41-47)

Bryan : 0-8 (11-77)

Week 11 in Review

Week 11 Record
Straight Up: 5-6
Against the Spread:6-2

#3 Louisville (-6) at #15 Rutgers
My Prediction: UL - 31, RU - 24
Actual Result: RU - 28, UL - 25

Rutgers pulled off a stunning comeback to remain undefeated and possibly have a say in the national title race before it’s all said and done. I don’t think the “letdown” factored into this at all, as the Cardinals jumped all over the Scarlet Knights in the first half. You have to give Rutgers all the credit in the world for manning up and getting themselves back into the game. No gimmicks here. They ran the ball right at Louisville and played great defense after halftime.

Vanderbilt (+2.5) at Kentucky
MP: VU - 23, UK - 20
AR: UK - 38, VU - 26

I was convinced Vanderbilt was the better team before this game, having seen both teams a number of times this season. The Wildcats, meanwhile, may have proven that they’re not a fluke by winning a game that both teams needed desperately. I underestimated that offense, which took it to a pretty decent Vanderbilt defense late in the game to seal the win.

Alabama (+17) at #12 Louisiana State
MP: LSU - 21, UA - 10
AR: LSU - 28, UA - 14

As usual, the Tigers come out and quickly show you why they’re considered one of, if not the most, talented teams in the nation. But then, they proceed to play far below their capability and allow a mediocre Alabama team to keep the outcome somewhat in doubt for the duration of the ballgame. It’s what I predicted, sure, but that doesn’t make it any less maddening.

#13 Tennessee (+5.5) at #11 Arkansas
MP: UA - 27, UT - 21
AR: UA - 31, UT - 14

Tennessee continues to prove that they were overvalued after the way their offense played over the first several weeks of the season. I know they were starting a freshman at quarterback, but it was a freshman who had played well and made some big plays off the bench last week against a scary LSU defense. More importantly, I hope this game helps the rest of the nation realize just how good a player Darren McFadden really is.

South Carolina (+13) at #6 Florida
MP: UF - 20, USC - 16
AR: UF - 17, USC - 16

It’s just the same old song and dance for both teams. South Carolina plays an inspired game against a superior opponent, only to come up just short at the end. Florida does just enough against a team that really has no business being on the same field as them. Steve Spurrier put on a clinic as a playcaller, though. I hope Urban Meyer was taking notes on the sidelines.

#18 Wake Forest (+7) at Florida State
MP: FSU - 17, WFU - 14
AR: WFU - 30, FSU - 0

I really didn’t see this one coming, as much as I wanted the Demon Deacons to win this game. Florida State hits absolute rock bottom, with a empty stadium on national television, and they can’t do a single thing right in any phase of the game. Maybe Wake Forest is for real, but with the athletes they have, the Seminoles shouldn’t suffer a outcome like this against any team in the nation.

#21 Oregon (+5.5) at #7 Southern California
MP: USC - 34, OU - 20
AR: USC - 21, OU - 10

Another workmanlike effort from the Trojans. They obviously don’t have the firepower that we’re used to, so people may be undervaluing them a little bit right now. That Oregon State game lit a fire under them so, while I don’t think they’re going to light up the scoreboard any time soon, don’t be surprised if they run through this rough schedule the next couple of weeks. Meanwhile, I can’t believe I was so high on the Ducks only a few short weeks ago.

#3 Statesboro at Ware County
MP: SHS - 14, WCHS - 6
AR: WCHS - 20, SHS - 0

This outcome probably took a number of people by surprise. Because I was so used to seeing the Blue Devils at the top of the region standings at the end of the year, I failed to take note of the fact that the Gators have really turned it on since losing to Effingham early in the year. Both teams may have something significant to say when the postseason gets under way, though.

Liberty County at South Effingham
MP: LCHS - 21, SEHS - 10
AR: SEHS - 27, LCHS - 7

The run the Mustangs have gone on since getting drilled by Washington County probably goes to show you just how much more talent Bob Herndon was working with during his time in Guyton. I know South Effingham promoted from within, but they changed their offense and have seen it steadily improve in a year as good as any the young Mustang program has ever had.

#7 Marist at #9 St. Pius X
MP: MS - 24, SPX - 21
AR: MS - 31, SPX - 14

Not much of a surprise here. People seemed to forget about Marist after they gave the Tucker game away, what with region rivals Mays and St. Pius running unbeaten records up until very late in the season. All Marist did was win all of their remaining games, beating the two schools just mentioned, and take home another region crown.

Georgia (+13) at #5 Auburn
MP: AU - 28, UGA - 20
AR: UGA - 37, AU - 15

I’m sure this will be more than covered over the next couple of weeks. Georgia dominated Auburn, and I know they were the beneficiaries of a ton of mistakes, but they also committed more than their fair share. The key was Georgia’s ability to turn those mistakes into points and to prevent Auburn from cashing in on the Bulldogs’ own miscues. Beyond even that, this game was won in the trenches. Not only did Georgia run at will, but they also gave the quarterback all kinds of protection all day. Defensively, they pressured Brandon Cox into turnovers, getting to and rattling him early on.

THE CORONATION

THERE'S STILL A LITTLE BIT OF ROOM ON THE BANDWAGGON FOR YOU DIEHARD JT3 AND JC SUPPORTERS. YOU KNOW WHO YOU ARE.

Thursday, November 09, 2006

BC (3-6) vs. Burke Co. (5-4)

Senior night will be anti-climatic for the 5th straight year as both teams enter this Saturday evening contest with nothing on the line. It also marks the 5th straight year that the Cadets will not make a postseason appearance. The Cadets experienced one of the worst losses in school history at Olvey Field last week. It will be tough to rebound against Burke Co., who despite being eliminated from playoff contention is the much superior team. Burke lost to Liberty by only a touchdown and defeated Richmond Hill last week 49-0. In the past Burke has run multiple offenses relying on the run a majority of the time. The Bears defense has put up 4 shutouts this year and held BC to 3 points in last years Homecoming game. As little as a win would do for the Cadets in the standings, the momentum gained from beating a solid opponent such as Burke could do nothing but help going into next year. One of the best cheerleading classes in recent memory will also be experiencing their senior night and will hopefully show up. Who would have thought that BC would get to the point of chanting "basketball!" at football games instead of "football!" at basketball games. Either way its time for the roundball on Seawright. Thanks to the Seniors for their effort to getting back to where we should be.
Burke Co. 30 - Benedictine 13

*BC's region champion cross country team will run at the state meet this week and enters ranked. The Cadets look to put an exclamation point on one of the best seasons in program history.

Finale week storylines:

- If Beach beats Jenkins on Friday, Beach will be the 4th seed from region 3-AAAAA with a 4-6 record and eliminate Groves from playoff contention. If Jenkins wins, Groves goes as the 4th seed.

- Bradwell faces Camden for the 3-AAAAA championship. If Bradwell loses Windsor Forest will earn the 2 seed and host a 1st round State Playoff game.

-Brunswick travels to Effingham for a huge region 3-AAAA contest. If Effingham wins and Ware loses to Statesboro, Effingham gains the 2 seed and Brunswick the 4. If Brunswick wins they would gain the 3 seed and Effingham would be eliminated from playoff contention with Glynn takeing their place.

- In region 1-AAAAA its a joke. Tift is the only team that has locked up a playoff spot. If Tift beats Colquitt they win the region. If Tift loses and Coffee wins, Coffee is the region champion. No matter what, whoever wins the Coffee/Houston Co. game is in. If Coffee loses and Tift wins, Coffee is eliminated from the playoffs. The winner of the Warner Robins/Lowndes game is in. If Lowndes loses and Houston wins, Lowndes is still in. If Lowndes loses and Coffee wins, Lowndes is eliminated. If Warner Robins loses they are still in unless Tift loses to Colquitt. The only way Colquitt gets in is with a win over Tift and a Warner Robins loss. The craziest thing is that the only team already eliminated is the Valdosta Wildcats.

- Cedar Shoals plays Clarke Central for a birth in the State Playoffs. Cedar Shoals is 8-1 and #1 in their sub-region with their only loss coming at the hands of Clarke Central. Clarke Central is 5-4 and the #4 seed in their sub-region.

-3rd ranked Norcross plays at #1 North Gwinett for the region 7-AAAAA championship.

- The loser of the South Efiingham/Liberty Co. game will most likely win a trip to LaGrange for the 1st round of the State Playoffs. But you never know, It was 10 years ago that a region 3 team went up to LaGrange to face a top-ranked Granger squad.

Georgia vs. Oklahoma St.

The 2007 opener will have Georgia taking on Oklahoma St. in Athens on Saturday September 1st. The two will play at Oklahoma St. in 2009. Georgia's hands were tied and basically forced them into this match up. Not a national power, but a program that has had some success in the recent past and is more than a formidable opponent. As a fan the next few years are going to include some exciting intersectional games. In the process the Dawgs will be racking up quite a few frequent flyer miles: @ Arizona St. in 2008, @ Oklahoma St. in 2009, and @ Colorado in 2010. But with the good comes the bad. At Georgia you'd like to think a National Championship is possible every year. Instead of playing the Western Kentucky's and Western Carolina's of the world, which lacks any excitement but is a gimmie win, we replace them with legitimate BCS schools that just adds to a brutal SEC schedule. You have to look no further than Texas this year to see how this type of scheduling can kill you. If Texas was to schedule lets say UAB instead of Ohio St., the Louisville/Rutgers game tonight would be a nice game but have no national implications because Texas would be making reservations for Glendale. I am looking forward to Oklahoma St. but I'm just dreading the possibility of one of these games holding Georgia back from something special. But then again nobody can say we're not Big Boy Football.

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Weekly Predictions: Avoid the Letdown Edition

The theme in my predictions the last couple of weeks has sort of been a team’s ability (or lack thereof) to “get up” two weeks in a row. We saw Clemson follow the Georgia Tech win with a Virginia Tech loss. Florida lost to Auburn the week after a huge win over LSU. Notre Dame got dumped on by Michigan the week after dumping on Penn State.

And it doesn’t always apply to teams coming off a win. Just look at Georgia. They were sluggish against Vanderbilt the week after getting up for Tennessee. Same goes for the Florida and Kentucky losses. Now, this isn’t a foolproof plan for picking games, as last week’s Oklahoma-Texas A&M contest, for instance, may demonstrate. It’s simply a theory commonly held among college football fans, usually based on a relatively small sample size of games.

The reason I lead with this is because a number of the games we’re picking this week involve teams coming off of big, important, emotional games this past weekend, and whether they won or lost those games, it’s always so difficult (for whatever reason) for a team to give two totally inspired performances in a row.

As usual, we begin on Thursday night:

#3 Louisville (-6) at #15 Rutgers

So the theory holds that Louisville will be going down in this game. Add that to the fact that the Scarlet Knights are coming off a bye week, and this looks like a slam dunk. But as our second-favorite senile ESPN personality (Beano not included) would say, not so fast my friend. The letdown factor will have an effect, but I feel like the Cardinals have the better quarterback, more athletes on both sides of the ball, and a coaching edge, slight as it may be. That’s enough to keep them in the national title hunt, but just barely.
Louisville - 31, Rutgers - 24



Vanderbilt (+2.5) at Kentucky

A couple of surprising SEC East clubs look to sneak into bowl eligibility, but facing a must-win situation against the other if they expect to pick up a rare postseason berth. Kentucky needs only to win this game and beat Louisiana-Monroe to reach that six-win plateau, while the Commodores face a much taller task. If they get past Kentucky, they must beat Tennessee for the second consecutive time in order to avoid a second consecutive five-win season. Chris Nickson’s legs are the difference against one of the worst defenses in the nation, and neither team goes bowling.
Vanderbilt - 23, Kentucky - 20

Alabama (+17) at #12 Louisiana State

Quite a few things point to the upset in this game as well. The Tigers left it all on the field of Neyland Stadium last Saturday in a come from behind win over Tennessee, while Tide are trying to prove that last week’s stunning loss to Mississippi State was little more than a fluke. And you know what Bill Curry always says, “The Tide don’t lose in Baton Rouge.” All of these things will keep the game close, but Alabama just doesn’t have the firepower to hang with JaMarcus Russell and the LSU offense.
LSU - 21, Alabama - 10

#13 Tennessee (+5.5) at #11 Arkansas

Now here’s a case where both teams are coming off of big, emotional games last week, and now they have to turn right back around and play in Saturday’s biggest game. Such is the nature of Southeastern Conference football. After letting LSU run all over them last week, the Tennessee defense really have their work cut out for them against Darren McFadden. A rowdy home crowd will get the Razorbacks up for this contest, while the Volunteers’ lack of a run game catches up with them for the second week in a row.
Arkansas - 27, Tennessee - 21



South Carolina (+13) at #6 Florida

Steve Spurrier will use every motivational technique he has and will run every trick play he has up his sleeve, but it still won’t be enough for his overmatched Gamecocks to overcome the Gators’ nasty defensive football team. If South Carolina couldn’t get it done against ranked opponents under the lights at home the past two weeks, how can you expect them to pull off the big upset in the face of one of the greatest home field advantages in all of college football? Florida doesn’t blow anybody out, though, so at least the Gamecocks get the cover.
Florida - 20, South Carolina - 16

#18 Wake Forest (+7) at Florida State

Vegas must be a fan of the letdown factor as well, as they inexplicably make 8-1 Wake Forest a touchdown underdog at 5-4 Florida State. I realize they’re at home and that their athletes are vastly superior, but Florida State by seven over anybody seems a little excessive to me. That having been said, the Deacons are coming off of the biggest win in school history, so a hangover is probably inevitable. I want Wake Forest to win, I really do. But Xavier Lee’s improvement, along with the home field advantage, are a little too much for them to overcome.
Florida State - 17, Wake Forest - 14



#21 Oregon (+5.5) at #7 Southern California

While neither one of these teams has quite lived up to the lofty expectations people were setting for them after the first couple of weeks, they’re still at the top of what has been a very balanced Pac-10 this year, so that’s got to count for something. Oregon comes off a blowout of an average Washington team, while the Trojans are fresh off letting out some of their frustrations on the certifiably terrible Stanford Cardinal. USC is highly motivated after letting one slip away against Oregon State, and they pull away in the second half at home.
USC - 34, Oregon - 20

3-AAAA Championship: #3 Statesboro at Ware County

The Blue Devils travel to Waycross looking to lock up their third consecutive perfect regular season against Fred Gibson’s alma mater, and there’s no reason to believe they won’t be able to do so. Aside from the Gators’ loss to Effingham, the team’s resumes are pretty similar, but in my mind, you’ve got to go with what works, and that’s Statesboro winning the big game yet again.
Statesboro - 14, Ware County - 6

3-AAA (A) Championship: Liberty County at South Effingham

This battle of sub region opponents who could’ve hung a hundred on BC if they wanted to is for a first round home playoff game, and both teams are rolling. Liberty has thrown two straight shutouts, while the Mustangs haven’t allowed a point in two of their last four games. As good as the defenses may be, I like the Panthers’ offense a whole lot more, so I expect them to take the region on the road Friday night.
Liberty County - 21, South Effingham - 10

6-AAAA Championship: #7 Marist at #9 St. Pius X

After feeling like they were in control of the region for much of the year, St. Pius find themselves possibly battling for a top-two seed this week against rival Marist. The War Eagles, after that heartbreaking loss to Tucker in Week 2, have stuck with it and now can come back to win the region in this contest. I like Marist’s experience in this position to provide the difference in a very tight ballgame.
Marist - 24, St. Pius - 21

Georgia (+13) at #5 Auburn

You know, it’s really hard to come up with something to write about Georgia’s chances against some of their biggest rivals right now. I mean, history says that the Bulldogs always have a chance on the Plains, but can a team that’s regressing as quickly as this one seems to be really do the unthinkable on Saturday? Auburn has quietly managed to win every week since the Arkansas loss, and are fresh off pitching a shutout last week. But because the Tigers have yet to look dominant in conference play, I’ve got to think Georgia will be able to keep it interesting. Anything beyond that, though, I’m not sure about.
Auburn - 28, Georgia - 20



Tuesday, November 07, 2006

My Take

With just under a quarter of the season to go and today being election day, I'm going to add to the numerous other guesses and take a shot at selecting the bowl matchups for SEC teams as well as January Bowls and look back in a month to see how certain teams faired over the final 4 weeks.

December 28:

-Independece Bowl (Shreveport, LA) : Kentucky vs. Oklahoma St.

December 29:

-Liberty Bowl (Memphis, TN) : Alabama vs. Tulsa

-Music City Bowl (Nashville, TN) : Georgia vs. Clemson

December 30:

-Chick-fil-a Bowl (Atlanta, GA) : South Carolina vs. Boston College

January 1:

-Cotton Bowl (Dallas, TX) : Arkansas vs. Oklahoma

-Outback Bowl (Tampa, FL) : Tennessee vs. Penn State

-Gator Bowl (Jacksonville, FL) : West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech

-Capitol One Bowl (Orlando, FL) : LSU vs. Wisconsin

ROSE BOWL (Pasadena, CA) : California vs. Michigan

FIESTA BOWL (Glendale, AZ) : Boise St. vs. Texas

January 2:

ORANGE BOWL (Miami, FL) : Georgia Tech vs. Auburn

January 3:

SUGAR BOWL (New Orleans, LA) : Florida vs. Notre Dame

January 8:

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (Glendale, AZ) : Louisville vs. Ohio St.

Monday, November 06, 2006

Week 11 Picks (ATTN: Thursday Game Included)

Louisville (-6) vs. RUTGERS
FLORIDA (-13) vs. South Carolina
ARKANSAS (-5.5) vs. Tennessee
FLORIDA ST. (-7) vs. Wake Forest
USC (-5.5) vs. Oregon

3-AAAA Championship: Statesboro vs. Ware Co.
3(A)-AAA Championship: Liberty Co. vs. South Effingham
6-AAAA Championship: Marist vs. St. Pius X

2006 Opener

During the weekly Sunday night teleconference, Richt stated that Georgia had found an opponent for the Opening game of the 2006 season. There was no mention of who it will be or when they will announce it. It will be a BCS school though. The rumors have already began and the most popular seems to be Texas A&M. I'm not sure why other than they have an open slot the 1st weekend of the year. A long with that rumor was the idea that it might be played on a Thursday night at a neutral site. ESPN is looking for a Thursday night opener and both teams schedules are pretty set for the next couple of years which would make scheduling a home and home more difficult. These are only rumors and there are still a hand full of teams looking for an opener. But with the season being the way it is, its something to talk about.

Sunday, November 05, 2006

Week 10 Results

Louisville , LSU , Wake , Arkansas , Texas A&m ; Cartersville , Marist , Groves

Jack : 7-1 (45-35)

Pat H. : 6-2 (46-34)
Rick : 6-2 (44-36)
Larry : 6-2 (41-39)

Patrick M. : 4-4 (45-35)
Will : 4-4 (43-37)

Donnie : 3-5 (39-41)

Shane : 1-7 (36-44)

Bryan : 0-8 (11-69)

The Retrospective, Week 10

Week 10 Record
Straight Up: 8-5
Against the Spread: 7-1

#3 West Virginia (+1.5) at #5 Louisville
My Prediction: WVU - 38, UL - 35
Actual Result: UL - 44, WVU - 34

I said there was no way Louisville could win this game convincingly, so they promptly went out there and did just that. Behind the strength of a couple of fumble and punt returns for touchdowns, the Cardinals made a pretty strong case for inclusion in the BCS title game, should they run the table and beat Rutgers.

#7 Florida (-15) at Vanderbilt
MP: UF - 27, VU - 17
AR: UF - 25, VU - 19

The Gators haven’t been garnering many style points lately, as they attempt to distinguish themselves from all the one-loss teams near the top of the rankings. They have some nice wins from earlier in the year, yes, but they’ll need to start winning games convincingly if they want to keep moving up in the BCS standings.

Mississippi State (+14) at Alabama
MP: UA - 24, MSU - 13
AR: MSU - 24, AU - 16

I do everything but call the Mississippi State upset all week, and then I chicken out at the last minute and pick Alabama. Sylvester Croom’s resume gets a big boost, while Mike Shula is having some serious, serious problems.

Arkansas State (+31) at #6 Auburn
MP: AU - 38, ASU - 14
AR: AU - 27, ASU - 0

A rival gets a cakewalk a week before the Georgia game. What else is new?

Northwestern State (OFF) at Mississippi
MP: UM - 34, NSU - 7
AR: UM - 27, NSU - 7

Yawn.

#12 Arkansas (-2) at South Carolina
MP: AU - 24, USC - 20
AR: AU - 26, USC - 20

So it was actually Blake Mitchell, not Syvelle Newton, who makes sure the Gamecocks keep it close, but ultimately get their hearts broken, yet again. This has got to start getting old.

#13 LSU (-2) at #8 Tennessee
MP: LSU - 16, UT - 13
AR: LSU - 28, UT - 24

Les Miles and JaMarcus Russell finally come away with a signature road win. It was against a Tennessee team playing without their starting quarterback, but Jonathan Crompton did play well in place of Erik Ainge, so I’ve got to give them credit.

Boston College (-4) at Wake Forest
MP: WFU - 27, BC - 21
AR: WFU - 21, BC - 14

Wake Forest made a bunch of big plays and, despite giving up over 400 yards through the air, never trailed as they beat a ranked opponent for the first time in, well, a while. But with Florida State, Virginia Tech, and Maryland still left on the schedule, the division title is far from wrapped up.

Oklahoma (-2.5) at Texas A&M
MP: TAMU - 20, OU - 17
AR: OU - 17, TAMU - 16

Oklahoma keeps proving they’re more than just Adrian Peterson’s supporting cast by winning their second straight conference road game without him. Funny, the Sooners’ biggest win of the year actually clinched the division for Texas.

#2 Carrollton at #5 Cartersville
MP: Carrollton - 20, Cartersville - 17
AR: Cartersville - 41, Carrollton - 37

I hear this was a pretty entertaining game. Yeah, I can’t think of anything else to say here.

#6 Mays vs. #10 Marist
MP: Marist - 17, Mays - 14
AR: Marist - 30, Mays - 6

Mays looks to have proven my theory to be correct. They get a hard fought victory one week to legitimize themselves as state title contenders, and then they turn around and get blown out the very next week.

Jenkins at Groves
MP: GHS - 31, JHS - 25
AR: GHS - 20, JHS - 14

No surprises here. Jenkins is much improved, but there’s a lot to be said for Groves’ experience in a region playoff race.

Georgia (-7) at Kentucky
MP: UGA - 30, UK - 17
AR: UK - 24, UGA - 20

Same script. Lead at halftime, turn it over, fail to give Lumpkin the football, allow a ridiculously easy game-winning drive. And Tony Taylor should be an All American.

Thursday, November 02, 2006

BC (3-5) vs. Liberty Co. (6-1)

BC takes a trip to Olvey Field for another Saturday evening contest. In the mid-90's Olvey field was considered one of the best and most intimidating atmospheres in the area. That was more so the case when Bradwell was playing but this year the Panthers might be the better team in Hinesville. BC has had the highest of highs and lowest of lows in the recent past at "The Jungle." In 2001 and 2002, the Cadets experienced devastating losses to Bradwell that cost BC a sub-region championship one year and a State playoff birth the other. In 2002 the Cadets gave up a Chumly defensive high 58 points against the Tigers. 2 years ago the Cadets fell to Liberty Co. by a point. The great 1996 team had their biggest regular season win at Olvey field against a state ranked Bradwell team. The late 90's saw BC dominate at Olvey field in a series that became a rivalry of sorts. But that is the past and BC is a much different team now. Liberty Co. was just the "other team" in Hinesville for so long. They are now in first place in the sub-region and in line for a #1 or #2 seed in the state playoffs. To date the Cadets and Panthers have faced two common opponents. Both handled Hephzibah, but the Panthers demolished Richmond Hill while the Cadets beat the Wildcats on the final play of the game. BC enters the game as a heavy underdog and have new injury problems to boot. The offense, which appeared to be making strides in the past month, took a step back last week. The defense struggled at times, but just as they did on the final play, buckled down when needed. If the Cadets are to stay in the game I believe Caleb Collins HAS to get more touches. Whether it be in the passing game or running on the corners, he has been able to make plays all year and makes the offense go. Donovan Kates is a Senior running back for the Panthers who has been doing the most damage on the Liberty offense. BC has not found much success in stopping good runners this year and should have a difficult time with Kates. Liberty does not take to the air to often but has been quite efficient when doing so. At this point in the year it would be a huge upset if the Cadets could pull off the win. South Effingham will breeze past Hephzibah this week and will enter next week undefeated in the sub-region. If Liberty takes care of business they too will be undefeated and face the Mustangs for the Sub-region championship. BC still controls their own destiny and could even make the playoffs with a win this week and a loss next week. The Panthers are too fast though, and will continue to pound the ball at BC eventually leading to big plays which has hampered the Cadets all year. BC goes down swinging but gets eliminated from playoff contention.
Liberty Co. 28 - Benedictine 10

Weekly Predictions: Goalpost Watch Edition

How great has the last year of college football been? Not only did we get to see one of the greatest games of all time in the Rose Bowl earlier this year, but we also get one of the biggest regular season games ever when Michigan and Ohio State square off in a couple of weeks.

I say this because those two games are rare cases of teams living up to the hype and actually giving us the matchups we had anticipated long before they actually happened (and I do realize that OSU and Michigan haven’t quite yet run the table). Well, we get another tonight in Louisville, when the No. 5 Cardinals play host to the No. 3 West Virginia Mountaineers. To be honest, I really thought one of these teams would slip up before this week, thus depriving us of the excitement surrounding one of the biggest Thursday night games I can remember.


This was pretty cool, too.

Now, let’s try and figure out who’s gonna win this thing.

#3 West Virginia (+1.5) at #5 Louisville

Though neither team’s schedule has been anything to write home about, if these two offenses are on, and they usually are, they can keep them in the game against anyone in the country. And that’s why, like it or not, the national title implications here are huge. There will be points, no question, but I don’t think Louisville, the way they’ve played recently, are capable of winning this game by more than one score. West Virginia, though, has the ability to run away with this if the Cardinals waste any time getting the offense on track. But Louisville will be sky high, and I think this game will live up to the hype.
West Virginia - 38, Louisville - 35

#7 Florida (-15) at Vanderbilt

The Commodores go for the Big Three hat trick, having already beaten Tennessee and Georgia the last time they played them. Fortunately for Vanderbilt, this Gator team just doesn’t seem to blow anybody out. Thanks to penalties and turnovers, Florida has allowed the Kentuckys, Georgias, and Alabamas of the world to hang around when, talent-wise, they probably had no business being on the same field as the mighty Gators. Florida wins again, and it’s a bit easier than the score indicates.
Florida - 27, Vanderbilt - 17

Mississippi State (+14) at Alabama

After coming up short at Georgia a couple of weeks ago, Sylvester Croom again looks for a win that could prove to the Mississippi State higher-ups that he does have this program on the right track. And things do seem to be setting up for a possible Mississippi State upset. Alabama has struggled in recent weeks and the Bulldogs finally seem to have found a little offense. But, there are few teams better in coming away with ugly wins than the Crimson Tide.
Alabama - 24, Mississippi State - 13

Arkansas State (+31) at #6 Auburn

I really hope Auburn defends their out of conference scheduling if they end up getting left out of the BCS title game.
Auburn - 38, Arkansas State - 14

Northwestern State (OFF) at Mississippi

Let’s see if I can go two for two picking scores when the line is off. Let’s say…
Mississippi - 34, Northwestern State - 7

#12 Arkansas (-2) at South Carolina

Isn’t this the sixth time South Carolina has kicked off at 7:45 this season? Are they LSU now? As always, the Gamecocks will leave it all on the field as they try to come away with a season-defining upset. I see a lot of people calling for this upset, too, but I just can’t see it. Syvelle Newton will continue to keep South Carolina in games, but the Razorbacks should be able to run the football at will.
Arkansas - 24, South Carolina - 20


Will they ever get the chance to do this again?

#13 LSU (-2) at #8 Tennessee

I’ve made it a rule not to pick Les Miles to win a big game, particularly on the road, and it’s served me well so far. But for various reasons, I’m really feeling LSU this week. Tennessee has flirted with disaster the last couple of weeks (take away the second half turnovers, and the Georgia game would’ve gone to the wire as well) and the Tigers are coming off a bye week. So, although I still have very little faith in Miles, I just can’t see a team this talented not winning on the road at some point this year.
LSU - 16, Tennessee - 13

Boston College (-4) at Wake Forest

If Maryland loses to Clemson, and they should, the winner of this game will represent whatever division they’re in at the ACC Championship Game in Jacksonville. And though the idea of either one of these teams playing for the ACC title is kind of funny to me, Wake is even funnier, so I take them for the outright win.
Wake Forest - 27, Boston College - 21

Oklahoma (-2.5) at Texas A&M

With everyone counting them out, the Sooners have rebounded from the loss of Adrian Peterson to play some pretty good football the last couple of weeks. In holding Missouri to 10 points, the Oklahoma defense is finally starting to live up to its potential. Texas A&M, meanwhile, has quietly lost only one game this year and has actually developed a passing attack the opposing defense has to respect in recent weeks. It’s so hard to win back-to-back games on the road, so I’ll take the Aggies in a mild, mild upset.
Texas A&M - 20, Oklahoma - 17

#2 Carrollton at #5 Cartersville

I don’t know anything about these teams, so I’ll take Carrollton because they’re playing at home.
Carrollton - 20, Cartersville - 17

#6 Mays vs. #10 Marist

Mays has to be the prohibitive favorite following a huge win over St. Pius last week. I picked the Golden Lions to pick up their second big win in a row last week, and it came back to bite me. Mays may be the better team, but it’s just too difficult to get up for the second consecutive week in high school.
Marist - 17, Mays - 14

Jenkins at Groves

Five years ago, Jenkins and Groves were probably competing for the honor of having the worst football program in the state of Georgia, and now they’re playing for a postseason berth on Friday night. They’ve gotten better, sure, but that’s more of a testament to the fact that Region 3-AAAAA has managed to get exponentially worse over the last several years. Groves has been here before, so they get it done at home.
Groves - 31, Jenkins - 25

Georgia (-7) at Kentucky

This is a scary, scary game for the Bulldogs, and the reason why I gave this post the name I did. They’ve been looking for a reason to rip those goalposts down ever since Devery Henderson hauled in that miracle pass in Lexington a couple of years ago. Kentucky can score some points, and if they’re ever going to get it done against Georgia, this is probably the Georgia team to do it against.

However, I think the Bulldogs come out motivated and avoid the upset. Georgia plays much better on the road and, though they’re beat up, they started to get it together in the second half last week. The offense should move the ball against a bad Kentucky defense, and I really think the defense can bring some momentum from last week’s second half performance with them. But don’t get me wrong, it won’t be easy.
Georgia - 30, Kentucky - 17

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

My Take

BC gained a much needed win on Homecoming this past Friday. A must win in my opinion ended in exhilarating fashion. Rain, sometimes heavy, fell for a majority of the game and what was a very impressive crowd in the parking lot before the game dwindled as the game progressed. Those who weathered the storm saw a thrilling overtime victory over a Richmond Hill team who entered the contest losing 26 of their last 27 games. Even though the Cadets came away with the win, some would see this as a true picture of where our program stands. 5 years ago Richmond Hill would have had a better chance of beating BC in a drill competition than on the Football field. Those in the know realize how things have changed and quite honestly see the tremendous amount of room for improvement. However, I chose to neglect these thoughts and focus on the good things I saw. For all that has been said about a lackluster student body, they were strong in numbers, very attentive, and on the last play of the game were able to make a good amount of noise. More important was the reaction I saw following the decisive play of the game. As the Wildcat running back was stopped just short of the goal line the BC sideline stormed the field and was soon joined by the student body. As the team left the field, both the players and students came together in singing the fight song. Yes, an Overtime victory over Richmond Hill on Homecoming is a far cry from a state quarter-final birth or a victory at Camden County. But the spirit and attitude that I saw from a majority of Cadets gave me a sense of pride that otherwise I would not have had leaving Memorial Stadium.

*Which Glynn Academy graduate's stock would you buy: Kwame or Wainwright?

*I never like to pinpoint a loss on one person, especially with all the problems Georgia has, but Milner single handedly killed 2 drives and added two more penalties to his team high total. I don't know if more of the blame should be directed towards him or the coaches for allowing him to continuously fail.

*Mallard might be on the team only because of the injuries that could hold Abraham out for the year, but he is really taking advantage of his chance and contributing significantly to the Falcons success.

*3 games will define this year's college football season. West Virginia/Louisville, Michigan/Ohio St., and the SEC Championship game.

*Baseball in America has taken a significant drop in importance over the past decade. This was truly evident on Monday when every major talk show had the Cardinals winning the World Series as the 4th most important story of the weekend behind the NFL, college football, and the death of "Red" Auerbach.

*You can't say Dennis Felton is not a man of his word. The indefinite suspension of transfer forward Takais Brown due to academics, is a huge blow to the potential success for this years Georgia basketball team.

*When College Football introduced Thursday night football years ago, I wonder if they saw it growing to every night of the week. The presidents say no to an extra game at the end of the year because of academics, but the cross country road trips on a Tuesday night are just fine.

Georgia is primed to be upset this weekend. After an emotional defeat last week, they walk into a cold Lexington, Kentucky where Georgia has struggled many times before. The Wildcat offense has put up big numbers at times this year and Woodson has grown into one of the better QB's in the conference. No matter what the players say, they won't have the intensity they had last week and are not good enough to stroll past anyone. Kentucky has everything to play for and Georgia plays its most meaningless game since 2001. Wouldn't be surprised to see a shootout and a tight final score.

Go Dawgs, Cadets, and 135 days